Tata Motors’ share price has been on a downward spiral, extending its losses for the ninth consecutive session. Investors are left wondering—how much further can it drop? With the stock hitting a fresh 52-week low, many are questioning whether this is a buying opportunity or if more downside is in store. Let’s break it down.
Tata Motors Share Price Plunge: A Closer Look
Over the past month, Tata Motors share price has dropped more than 13%. Year-to-date (YTD), the decline is over 15%. Looking at a longer horizon, the stock has plummeted 41% in the last six months and 34% over the past year.
On February 28, Tata Motors share price slid another 2%, touching a new 52-week low of ₹630.15 per share on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). From its peak, the stock has lost more than 46% of its value, wiping out nearly ₹2 lakh crore in market capitalization.
So, what’s behind this massive selloff? Let’s dive into the key reasons.
Why Is Tata Motors Stock Falling?
The sharp decline in Tata Motors share price can be attributed to several factors:
1. Weak Demand for Jaguar Land Rover (JLR)
One of the biggest concerns is the sluggish demand for JLR, especially in China and the UK—two critical markets for Tata Motors. With sales slowing in these regions, the company’s revenue stream is taking a hit.
2. US Tariff Concerns
The US is a major market for JLR, contributing around 25% of its retail volumes. However, concerns over potential US import tariffs on European-made vehicles have raised red flags for future sales. Any additional tariffs could make JLR cars more expensive, further denting demand.
3. Weak Domestic Passenger Vehicle Sales
The domestic market isn’t doing any favors either. Passenger vehicle (PV) sales are expected to decline by 7.3% in February 2025 compared to the same period last year. Tata Motors’ PV segment has been a key driver of growth, and a slowdown here adds to the pressure.
4. Declining Commercial Vehicle (CV) Sales
The commercial vehicle segment is also witnessing a slowdown. Sales are projected to drop by 3.3% in February, signaling a broader downturn in the auto industry.
What Do the Technical Charts Say?
For those who follow technical analysis, the charts don’t paint a pretty picture for Tata Motors share price.
According to Anshul Jain, Head of Research at Lakshmishree Investment and Securities, Tata Motors stock attempted a breakout at ₹1,065 but failed. After struggling to hold support at ₹659, it has now fallen further, testing a critical support level at ₹589.
“With the current bearish momentum, there’s a high probability that the stock could retest ₹589,” Jain explains. If this level doesn’t hold, further downside could be on the horizon.
Tata Motors February Sales Outlook
According to analysts at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, Tata Motors is expected to report a 5.7% drop in total wholesales for February 2025. The numbers look bleak:
- Passenger Vehicle (PV) sales: Estimated at 47,560 units, down 7.3% YoY.
- Commercial Vehicle (CV) sales: Expected to fall 3.3% to 33,945 units YoY.
With sales expected to shrink, investors are naturally concerned about how this will impact revenue and profitability.
Has Tata Motors Been a Good Long-Term Investment?
While the short-term picture seems grim, Tata Motors has a stellar performer over the long run. Despite recent losses, the stock has delivered impressive returns:
- 50% gain over the past two years
- A whopping 390% return over the past five years
This means that while Tata Motors share price is under pressure right now, long-term investors who got in early are still sitting on significant gains.
What Should Investors Do Now?
Given the current bearish trend, investors are left with three choices:
1. Hold On
If you believe in Tata Motors long-term growth story, holding onto your shares could be a wise move. The company has strong fundamentals, and once demand picks up, the stock could rebound.
2. Buy More (If You’re a Risk-Taker)
For risk-tolerant investors, the current dip might be a good buying opportunity. If Tata Motors share price finds support and rebounds, early buyers could benefit.
3. Wait and Watch
If you’re unsure, waiting for clearer market signals might be the best strategy. Keeping an eye on technical levels like ₹589 and how the company performs in the next earnings report could provide better entry points.
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Conclusion
There’s no doubt that Tata Motors share price is under significant pressure. With weak JLR demand, domestic sales slowing, and technical indicators flashing red, the short-term outlook remains bearish. However, the company has a strong long-term track record, and any positive triggers—such as a recovery in JLR sales or a favorable market sentiment—could spark a turnaround.
For now, investors should tread cautiously, monitoring key support levels and upcoming sales data before making any major investment decisions.